Ai Educational Assessment And Football Pool Forecasting beyond Nominal Performance: Mechanisms, Uncertainty, and Deployment
Keywords:
Ai Educational Assessment And Football Pool Forecasting, Construct Validity, Data Drift, Fairness, Explainability, Teacher OversightAbstract
A central challenge in AI educational assessment and football pool forecasting is to compare studies whose mechanisms and validation settings do not share a single denominator. The present review uses AI-based student-performance prediction as a case study in educational assessment and a football-lottery playing method that converts match judgments into ticket combinations as focal cases for a boundary-aware synthesis. A structured reading of two target studies and 12 verified companion references is conducted across five lenses: construct validity, data drift, fairness, explainability, teacher oversight. Emphasis is placed on the provenance of evidence, the comparability of baselines, and the consequences of alternative explanations. The combined literature indicates that methodological gains become actionable only when construct validity and data drift are evaluated together and when limits associated with teacher oversight are explicit. This shifts the emphasis from isolated scores toward traceable chains of evidence and decision relevance. The resulting framework supports reproducible comparison while preserving differences between study designs, and it identifies concrete points at which transfer claims should be narrowed or retested.
Archive transfer
Originally published in Inclusive Growth and Management Quarterly (NB), article 83, on 2026-08-31. Transferred to Perspectives in Research and Society on 3 November 2026. The original authors, publication date and article text are retained.
References
- Song, S., Zhang, X., Liang, X., & Xiao, B. (2026, February). Application of Artificial Intelligence in Educational Assessment: A Case Study of Student Performance Prediction. In Proceedings of the 2026 International Conference on Big Data and Informatization Education (pp. 617-621).
- Tang, L., & Chen, S. (2025). Educational data mining for student performance prediction in artificial intelligence environment. Molecular & Cellular Biomechanics, 22(5), 692. https://doi.org/10.62617/mcb692
- Huggins, M. (2013). Association Football, Betting, and British Society in the 1930s: The Strange Case of the 1936 “Pools War”. Sport History Review, 44(2), 99-119. https://doi.org/10.1123/shr.44.2.99
- qizi, K. S. Z. (2026). Artificial Intelligence in Criminal Proceedings: Ensuring Legality, Validity and Fairness of Court Verdicts in Uzbekistan. International Journal of Law And Criminology, 06(04), 23-28. https://doi.org/10.37547/ijlc/volume06issue04-04
- Davis, J., Dawson, J., & Krieger, K. (2018). Correlated Parlay Betting: An Analysis of Betting Market Profitability Scenarios in College Football. The Journal of Prediction Markets, 12(2), 68-84. https://doi.org/10.5750/jpm.v12i2.1562
- Dorsey, D. W., & Michaels, H. R. (2022). Validity Arguments Meet Artificial Intelligence in Innovative Educational Assessment. Journal of Educational Measurement, 59(3), 267-271. https://doi.org/10.1111/jedm.12331
- Deschamps, B., & Gergaud, O. (2012). EFFICIENCY IN BETTING MARKETS: EVIDENCE FROM ENGLISH FOOTBALL. The Journal of Prediction Markets, 1(1), 61-73. https://doi.org/10.5750/jpm.v1i1.420
- Smerdon, D. (2024). AI in essay-based assessment: Student adoption, usage, and performance. Computers and Education: Artificial Intelligence, 7, 100288. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.caeai.2024.100288
- Moore, E., & Francisco, J. (2020). The SEC vs. the Dow Jones: A Profitable Betting Strategy in NCAA Football. The Journal of Prediction Markets, 13(2). https://doi.org/10.5750/jpm.v13i2.1740
- Kassak, O., Kompan, M., & Bielikova, M. (2016). Student behavior in a web-based educational system: Exit intent prediction. Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence, 51, 136-149. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.engappai.2016.01.018
- Stübinger, J., Mangold, B., & Knoll, J. (2019). Machine Learning in Football Betting: Prediction of Match Results Based on Player Characteristics. Applied Sciences, 10(1), 46. https://doi.org/10.3390/app10010046
- Muhammad Hasanuddin, (2026). Explainable Artificial Intelligence for Student Academic Performance Prediction Using Random Forest and SHAP. Journal of Computer Science Artificial Intelligence and Communications, 3(1). https://doi.org/10.64803/jocsaic.v3i1.174
- Hvattum, L. M. (2013). Analyzing Information Efficiency in the Betting Market for Association Football League Winners. The Journal of Prediction Markets, 7(2), 55-70. https://doi.org/10.5750/jpm.v7i2.614
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2026 Jeremy Becker, Colin Duncan, Derek Nichols (Author)

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.